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Does Psi Exist? Lack of Replication of an Anomalous Process of Information Transfer

⚑ Contested β†—
Milton, Julie, Wiseman, Richard β€’ 1999 Modern Era β€’ telepathy

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Plain English Summary

This is one of the biggest buzzkill papers in parapsychology. Bem and Honorton had claimed ganzfeld experiments β€” where a 'receiver' relaxes in sensory deprivation trying to pick up images from a 'sender' β€” showed real ESP. Milton and Wiseman gathered 30 follow-up studies from seven labs, nearly 1,200 trials, and ran a meta-analysis (pooling results across studies). The verdict? Essentially nothing β€” a tiny, statistically insignificant effect. Of three patterns Bem and Honorton highlighted, only one reappeared, and that original finding was itself weak. Their blunt conclusion: ganzfeld doesn't reliably produce ESP, sparking sharp rebuttals from believers.

Actual Paper Abstract

D. J. Bern and C. Honorton (1994) recently presented in this journal a set of ganzfeld extrasensory perception (ESP) experiments conducted by C. Honorton that appeared to support the existence of a communication anomaly. In this article, the authors present a meta-analysis of 30 ganzfeld ESP studies from 7 independent laboratories adhering to the same stringent methodological guidelines that C. Honorton followed. The studies failed to confirm his main effect of participants scoring above chance on the ESP task, Stouffer z = 0.70, p = .24, one-tailed; M effect size (z/JV"2) = 0.013, SD = 0.23. The new studies included replication attempts of 3 out of 5 internal effects reported as statistically significant by D. J. Bern and C. Honorton. Only 1 was confirmed, and the authors found that D. J. Bern and C. Honorton were mistaken in describing the original effect as being statistically significant. The authors conclude that the ganzfeld technique does not at present offer a replicable method for producing ESP in the laboratory.

Research Notes

Major failed replication published in Psychological Bulletin directly challenging Bem & Honorton (1994) autoganzfeld results. Central to ganzfeld controversy, represents skeptical position. Prompted responses from proponents including Bem et al. (2001). Authors supported by Perrott Warrick Fund. Key paper for understanding debate over whether ganzfeld effects are genuine or artifacts.

Meta-analysis of 30 ganzfeld ESP studies (1,198 trials) from 7 independent laboratories conducted 1987-1997 following Hyman and Honorton (1986) methodological guidelines. Using Stouffer's Z method, found no significant main effect: z = 0.70, p = .24, mean effect size d = 0.013. Only 1 of 3 internal effects from autoganzfeld was replicated (mental discipline), and that original effect was nonsignificant. Concludes ganzfeld technique does not at present offer a replicable method for producing ESP, challenging Bem and Honorton's (1994) positive findings.

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πŸ“‹ Cite this paper
APA
Milton, Julie, Wiseman, Richard (1999). Does Psi Exist? Lack of Replication of an Anomalous Process of Information Transfer. Psychological Bulletin. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.125.4.387
BibTeX
@article{milton_1999_does,
  title = {Does Psi Exist? Lack of Replication of an Anomalous Process of Information Transfer},
  author = {Milton, Julie and Wiseman, Richard},
  year = {1999},
  journal = {Psychological Bulletin},
  doi = {10.1037/0033-2909.125.4.387},
}